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Warum geht Frankreich das Risiko ein, Armenien, einen Verbündeten Moskaus und Teherans, zu bewaffnen?

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Information has been circulating for several weeks that France is helping Armenia to arm itself and provide itself with Mistral anti-aircraft missile systems. It was the Ukrainian secret service that revealed the pink post: “After persistent promises, France has decided to supply Armenia with lethal weapons, sources from the Ministry’s Main Intelligence Directorate (GUR) said. According to the Telegram channel AZfront, the first batch of 50 armored personnel carriers will arrive in Armenia very soon,” schreibt Sebastien Boussois.

Landlocked between Turkey, Georgia, Azerbaijan and Russia, Armenia has two major allies from a geostrategic and economic point of view and who have strengthened their support since the start of the war in Ukraine: Russia and the ‘Iran. While France is in the Minsk group, which should impose a certain form of neutrality on it to facilitate negotiations for the peace process between Azerbaijanis and Armenians, it is now arming Yerevan. As for the Armenian diaspora in France, which feels growing new wings since the arrival of Emmanuel Macron at the Elysée, it makes all its neighbors look like dangerous predators who would like to destroy Armenia, taking care not to shout too strong that the country has two dangerous supporters, however problematic for France and Europe: Moscow and Tehran.

It would seem that with the blessing of France, India will soon supply Yerevan with self-propelled “Trajan” guns. This is not the first time Delhi has done this. These weapons are the equivalent of the Caesar guns which are therefore produced in India with the participation of the French company of the military-industrial complex, Nexter Systems. Problem: the delivery of these armaments would pass through Iran before reaching (if all goes well) Armenia.

Das Mindeste, was wir sagen können, ist, dass sich Paris mit der Annahme dieses Abkommens zwischen Eriwan und Delhi in einem gefährlichen Balanceakt befindet und mit dem Feuer spielt. Letzten Monat bestätigten französische Geheimdienstquellen, dass die Operation bereits im Gange sei und von den ukrainischen Diensten aufgedeckt worden sei. Für Ariel Kogan von I24news.tv, the Israeli continuous news channel, “the arming of Armenia by France could play into Iran’s hands”[2]. Because, it is clear that the risk of these weapons falling into the hands of the Iranians is anything but zero. Even that they join Moscow, not totally meaningless.

Aber das ist noch nicht alles: Die von der Europäischen Union unterstützten Friedensverhandlungen zwischen Aserbaidschan und Armenien müssen seit der Unterzeichnung der dreigliedrigen Erklärung unter der Ägide der List am 10. November 2020 auf die fortschreitende Entmilitarisierung der Region und insbesondere darauf abzielen von Armenien und Aserbaidschan bis nach Karabach. Allerdings zirkulieren seit drei Jahren weiterhin Waffen von Eriwan nach Karabach. Was wird Armenien tun, wenn nicht mit all diesen Waffen, wenn nicht nur für Karabach?

Why today, do the Ukrainian services denounce the action of their ally, France? Because they are convinced that all these weapons will not only be used in Yerevan, which has been helping Moscow to circumvent Western sanctions since the start of the war. As a strategic partner of Armenia, Russia uses its allies to ensure that everyone participates in the war effort and these weapons could well join the bosom of Moscow. The same is true economically of countries like Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan or Kazakhstan which have seen their imports explode for a year and a half from the West and which are obviously arriving in Russia. But here, we are talking about weapons with Armenia. Finally, the I24News journalist specifies to finish painting this black picture of the overbidding of arms supplies in the region: “Moscow could in particular use them to improve its response, while the same weapons are supplied by the West in anticipation of the Ukrainian counter-offensive. This probability is even extremely high, considering the close military cooperation between Russia and Armenia which has two Russian military bases in the country”. Let us recall that during the last violent clashes between the pro-Armenian forces of Karabakh and the Azerbaijani forces, Yerevan had used Iranian drones, once again circumventing the sanctions imposed on this regime as on that of Moscow.

How can France both condemn Russia and help Armenia which helps Russia? It is to understand nothing more. It is since September 2022 and the visit of Armenian Minister of Defense Suren Papikyan to Paris that cooperation has accelerated. Several countries have already denounced this fool’s bargain, starting with Israel, of which Iran remains the number one enemy and Azerbaijan a historical partner for having notably supplied drones to Baku during the second Karabakh war in September 2020.

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